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PolymarketResolvedOutcome: YesClosed Part of What price will Ethereum hit in November? →

Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in November?

Outcome

Yes

Polymarket resolved this market to Yes.

Final Yes price before close >99¢
Known at
$63.6K total volume

Yes price before close

7 days before close
24 hours before close
1 hour before close

Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.

Low gotcha risk

Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment

Show full assessmentShow less

This market has clear, deterministic resolution criteria. It relies on a single named source and trading pair—the Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle Low price—with a direct URL provided. The time window is strictly defined in Eastern Time, and the market resolves immediately to Yes if the threshold of $1,900 or lower is touched, or to No after the month closes without meeting that condition. The rules explicitly exclude other exchanges and trading pairs, leaving no room for decider interpretation.

Wording ambiguity
Low
Source discretion
Low
Timing risk
Low
Exceptional clauses
Low

AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Price history range

Price path to close

Yes price
40¢60¢80¢100¢06:1114:1022:0806:06
0¢50¢100¢Nov 6Nov 8Nov 10Nov 13
0¢50¢100¢Nov 4Nov 7Nov 10Nov 13

Why it moved before close

Up 41 points · 12 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC

Coin price

The probability rose from 53% to 92%. Ethereum fell 1.06% on Binance during the move hour and 1.73% over 24 hours, putting it within 6.06% of the threshold and making a dip to $1,900 more likely.

  • Largest hourly change: 11:00 UTC, 87% of the net 24-hour change.
  • ETH (Binance): −1.1% in the move hour, −1.7% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 18 days after the move hour.
  • 7 related outcomes moved in the same window, 4 in the same direction. Largest: ↓ 1,800 (down), ↓ 2,000 (up), ↓ 1,700 (up).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 13 Nov 2026, 05:20 UTC

Down 21 points · 11 Nov 2026, 15:00 UTC

Coin price

The probability fell from 63% to 41% as Ethereum gained 1.0% on Binance during the hour of the move and rose 1.5% over the 24-hour window, making a dip to $1,900 less likely.

  • Largest hourly change: 15:00 UTC, 35% of the net 24-hour change.
  • ETH (Binance): +1.0% in the move hour, +1.5% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 19 days after the move hour.
  • 8 related outcomes moved in the same window, 7 in the same direction. Largest: ↓ 2,000 (down), ↓ 1,800 (down), ↑ 2,300 (up).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 11 Nov 2026, 17:50 UTC

Up 25 points · 10 Nov 2026, 15:00 UTC

Coin price

The market price rose from 39% to 63% as Ethereum fell 2.8% on Binance during the hour, making a dip to $1,900 more likely.

  • Largest hourly change: 15:00 UTC, 47% of the net 24-hour change.
  • ETH (Binance): −2.8% in the move hour, −3.0% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 20 days after the move hour.
  • 7 related outcomes moved in the same window, 4 in the same direction. Largest: ↓ 2,000 (up), ↑ 2,400 (down), ↓ 1,800 (up).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 10 Nov 2026, 16:06 UTC

Market explained before close

This market measures whether the price of Ethereum dips to $1,900 or lower on Binance during the month of November. Resolution relies solely on the ETH/USDT trading pair on Binance.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for ETH/USDT from November 1 at 00:00 AM ET to November 30 at 11:59 PM ET records a final Low price equal to or lower than $1,900. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches $1,900 or lower during that period. The resolution is determined exclusively using Binance 1-minute candle data for ETH/USDT; prices from other trading pairs, spot markets, or exchanges are disregarded.

Key dates

  • Measurement period start: — 00:00 AM ET
  • Measurement period end: — 11:59 PM ET

Resolution source

Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute chart

AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Resolution rules at close

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

About this page

A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.