brierpoınt
CryptoCloses · in 17 days$4.6K volumePart of: What price will Solana hit in November? →

Will Solana reach $100 in November?

Trade on Polymarket ↗Referral link

Gotcha risk

Low

0 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: This market features clear and deterministic rules.

Read the full assessment

This market features clear and deterministic rules. It resolves to Yes immediately if any one-minute candle on Binance for the SOL/USDT pair reaches or exceeds $100 within the specified Eastern Time window in November, and resolves to No otherwise. The exact data source, URL, trading pair, chart interval, and metric (candle High price) are explicitly defined, leaving virtually no room for discretion or ambiguity.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

9%

chance

▼ −5 pts · 24h

Yes9¢
No92¢
↑ 100 · Yes · 1MO 76.5 H 82.0 L 6.5 C 8.5−68.0 (−88.9%)

Why it moved

Latest move

▼ −11 pts24h · detected 12 Nov 2026, 17:40 UTC

The market price fell from 21% to 10% as Solana dropped 1.2% in the hour and 4.6% over 24 hours on Binance, making reaching $100 less likely and leaving it roughly 23% below the target.

  • Largest hourly change: 22:00 UTC, 38% of the net 24-hour change.
  • SOL (Binance): −1.2% in the move hour, −4.6% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 19 days after the move hour.
  • 1 related outcome moved in the same window, 1 in the same direction. Largest: ↓ 80 (down).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

A possible driver, not a confirmed cause. Wallets are anonymous. Activity is public on-chain; it says nothing about intent.

AI-generated · 12 Nov 2026, 17:50 UTC

Earlier

▼ −11 pts · 10 Nov 2026, 14:25 UTCThe market probability fell from 30% to 20% as Solana dropped 1.02% on Binance during the move hour and 3.65% over the wider window, making reaching $100 in November less likely.Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.AI-generated · 10 Nov 2026, 14:35 UTC

Earlier

▼ −12 pts · 9 Nov 2026, 00:10 UTCThe market fell from 43% to 31% as Solana dropped 3.5% on Binance during the move hour, making reaching the $100 target in November less likely.Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.AI-generated · 9 Nov 2026, 00:20 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Market explained

This market measures whether the price of Solana reaches at least $100 during November on Binance. It relies exclusively on Binance 1-minute candle high prices for the SOL/USDT pair, disregarding all other exchanges and trading pairs.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for SOL/USDT has a final High price equal to or greater than $100 between 00:00 AM ET on the first day of November and 11:59 PM ET on the last day of November. It resolves to No if no such candle reaches or exceeds $100 during that period. The resolution outcome is determined solely by Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute chart data, and prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets are excluded.

Resolution source

Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute chart

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·