PolymarketResolvedOutcome: YesClosed Part of What price will XRP hit in November? →

Will XRP dip to $1.00 in November?

Outcome

Yes

Polymarket resolved this market to Yes.

Final Yes price before close >99¢
Known at
$92.5K total volume

Yes price before close

7 days before close
24 hours before close
1 hour before close

Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.

Low gotcha risk

Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment

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The resolution criteria are clearly specified and rely on objective price data. The market designates Binance's XRP/USDT 1-minute candle Low prices as the exclusive source, defines the exact time window in Eastern Time, and sets an unambiguous numeric threshold of $1.00 or lower. Early resolution occurs immediately if the threshold is hit during the specified month, with no subjective judgment required.

Wording ambiguity
Low
Source discretion
Low
Timing risk
Low
Exceptional clauses
Low

AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Price history range

Price path to close

Yes price
60¢70¢80¢90¢100¢04:0612:0520:0304:01
0¢50¢100¢Nov 6Nov 8Nov 10Nov 13
0¢50¢100¢Nov 6Nov 8Nov 10Nov 13

Why it moved before close

Down 15 points · 10 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC

Coin price

The odds of XRP dipping to $1.00 fell from 78% to 63% as XRP rose 1.8% on Binance during the move hour, making a decline to the $1.00 threshold less likely.

  • Largest hourly change: 18:00 UTC, 57% of the net 24-hour change.
  • XRP (Binance): +1.8% in the move hour, +1.5% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 20 days after the move hour.
  • 1 related outcome moved in the same window, 0 in the same direction. Largest: ↓ 0.80 (up).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 11 Nov 2026, 16:05 UTC

Up 21 points · 9 Nov 2026, 15:00 UTC

Coin price

The market rose from 52% to 73% as XRP fell 2.4% over 24 hours on Binance, with a 1.2% move in the key hour, making a dip to $1.00 more likely.

  • Largest hourly change: 15:00 UTC, 58% of the net 24-hour change.
  • XRP (Binance): +1.2% in the move hour, −2.4% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 21 days after the move hour.

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 10 Nov 2026, 15:51 UTC

Up 30 points · 8 Nov 2026, 21:00 UTC

Coin price

The market price rose from 32% to 62% as XRP fell 3.8% on Binance during the hour, making a dip to $1.00 more likely.

  • Largest hourly change: 21:00 UTC, 86% of the net 24-hour change.
  • XRP (Binance): −3.8% in the move hour, −4.4% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 22 days after the move hour.
  • 1 related outcome moved in the same window, 0 in the same direction. Largest: ↑ 1.40 (down).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 9 Nov 2026, 11:35 UTC

Market explained before close

This market measures whether the XRP/USDT trading pair on Binance drops to $1.00 or lower during November. It resolves immediately if the target price is reached.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes immediately if any 1-minute candle for XRP/USDT on Binance shows a final Low price equal to or lower than $1.00 between 00:00 AM ET on November 1 and 11:59 PM ET on November 30. It resolves to No if no 1-minute candle meets this condition by the end of November. Binance XRP/USDT 1-minute candle data is the sole deciding source. Prices from other exchanges, other trading pairs, or other spot markets are disregarded.

Key dates

  • Measurement period start: — 00:00 AM ET
  • Measurement period end: — 11:59 PM ET

Resolution source

Binance (XRP/USDT 1-minute chart Low prices)

AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Resolution rules at close

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance XRP/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

About this page

A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.