Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 8?
Outcome
Yes
Polymarket resolved this market to Yes.
Yes price before the listed close date
- 7 days before
- Not captured
- 24 hours before
- 1 hour before
Counted back from the listed close date, ; price capture stops 6 hours after it. Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment
Show less
The resolution criteria are clearly specified and rely on a definitive, named data source. Resolution hinges entirely on the final close price of the 1-minute BTC/USDT candle on Binance at precisely 12:00 PM ET on November 8. The source URL and exact chart settings (1m candle close) are defined, leaving virtually no room for subjective discretion, timing ambiguity, or unexpected edge cases.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Why it moved before close
No moves were explained in the 7 days before the listed close date.
Market explained before close
This market measures whether the Binance BTC/USDT price is above $70,000 at noon ET on November 8, 2026. Resolution depends strictly on a specific one-minute candle on Binance rather than prices from other exchanges or trading pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on November 8, 2026, has a final Close price strictly greater than $70,000. It resolves to No if the Close price is $70,000 or lower. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places provided by the source. The resolution is determined strictly by Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data, excluding other exchanges or trading pairs.
Key dates
- Target candle close: — Candle closing at 12:00 PM ET
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Resolution rules at close
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
About this page
A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.