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PolymarketResolvedOutcome: NoClosed Part of Bitcoin above ___ on November 8? →

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 8?

Outcome

No

Polymarket resolved this market to No.

Final No price before close 98¢
Known at
$27.1K total volume

No price before the listed close date

7 days before
Not captured
24 hours before
1 hour before

Counted back from the listed close date, ; price capture stops 6 hours after it. Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.

Low gotcha risk

Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment

Show full assessmentShow less

This market has exceptionally clear and programmatic resolution rules. It identifies the exact resolution source (Binance BTC/USDT), the exact metric (the Close price), the exact timeframe (the 1-minute candle closing at 12:00 PM ET on November 8), and explicitly specifies that only this exchange pair counts. There is virtually no room for subjective interpretation or decider discretion.

Wording ambiguity
Low
Source discretion
Low
Timing risk
Low
Exceptional clauses
Low

AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Price history range

Price path to close

No price
96¢97¢98¢99¢00:0108:0015:5823:56
0¢50¢100¢Nov 5Nov 6Nov 7Nov 8
70¢80¢90¢100¢Nov 6Nov 6Nov 7Nov 8

Why it moved before close

Down 71 points · 5 Nov 2026, 15:00 UTC

Coin price

The market price dropped from 87% to 15% as Bitcoin fell 2.88% on Binance during the move hour (and down 5.54% over the window), making the $78,000 threshold significantly less likely to hold before the deadline.

  • Largest hourly change: 15:00 UTC, 47% of the net 24-hour change.
  • BTC (Binance): −2.9% in the move hour, −5.5% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 2 days after the move hour.

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 6 Nov 2026, 05:50 UTC

Market explained before close

This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin exceeds $78,000 on November 8. Resolution depends solely on a specific 1-minute candle on Binance rather than an aggregate or average market price across exchanges.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on November 8 has a final Close price strictly higher than $78,000. The market resolves to No if the Close price is at or below $78,000. Resolution relies exclusively on Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data, with price precision determined by the source.

Key dates

  • Measurement time: — Time of the closing 1-minute candle on Binance.

Resolution source

Binance BTC/USDT 1m candle data

AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Resolution rules at close

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

About this page

A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.