No
Polymarket resolved this market to No.
Counted back from the listed close date, ; price capture stops 6 hours after it. Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.
Low gotcha risk
The resolution criteria are clearly specified with virtually no room for interpretation. The market resolves strictly based on the close price of the 1-minute BTC/USDT candle at 12:00 PM ET on November 8 directly on Binance. A specific URL, trading pair, timeframe, and metric are designated, eliminating source discretion and ambiguity. The only potential detail to keep in mind is that the price is tied solely to Binance rather than an aggregate index or other exchanges.
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
The probability fell from 62% to 8% as Bitcoin dropped 1.72% on Binance during the move hour and fell 5.54% over 24 hours, making staying above $80,000 less likely.
Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.
AI-generated · 6 Nov 2026, 00:41 UTC
This market measures whether the Binance BTC/USDT price is above $80,000 at a specific minute on November 8. Resolution is strictly tied to a single 1-minute candle on Binance rather than broader market averages or other exchanges.
The market resolves to Yes if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on November 8 has a final Close price strictly higher than $80,000. It resolves to No if the Close price is equal to or less than $80,000. Resolution relies solely on Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data and disregards all other exchanges and trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the decimal places provided by Binance.
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.