Spread: UCF (-2.5)
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market has clear, objective resolution criteria based on the final score of the specified college football game.
Read the full assessment
This market has clear, objective resolution criteria based on the final score of the specified college football game. UCF must win by at least 3 points to cover the -2.5 spread, with all other game outcomes resulting in Arizona State. Standard delay and cancellation provisions are clearly defined, specifying a 50-50 resolution if the game does not start or produce an official result by the Monday night deadline.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
55%
chanceWhy it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming college football game between Arizona State and UCF, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "UCF" if UCF win the game by 3 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Arizona State". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
Market explained
This market measures whether UCF covers a 2.5-point spread against Arizona State in their college football game.
How it resolves
The market resolves to UCF if UCF wins the game by 3 or more points. The market resolves to Arizona State in all other cases where an official result is reached, including a UCF win by 2 or fewer points, a tie, or an Arizona State win. If the market outcome was definitively determined before abandonment, that outcome stands. Otherwise, the market resolves 50-50 if the game is canceled, does not start by November 16, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time. Resolution is based on the listed resolution sources.
Resolution source
No resolution source is identified in this explainer.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·