Spread: UCF (-4.5)
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly define the spread threshold: UCF must win by 5 or more points to resolve to UCF, otherwise the market resolves to Arizona State.
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly define the spread threshold: UCF must win by 5 or more points to resolve to UCF, otherwise the market resolves to Arizona State. The terms include standard, clear contingency clauses specifying that if the game is canceled, fails to start, or is abandoned without an official result by November 16, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, it resolves 50-50.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
43%
chanceWhy it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming college football game between Arizona State and UCF, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "UCF" if UCF win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Arizona State". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
Market explained
This market measures the point spread outcome for the college football game between Arizona State and UCF, evaluating whether UCF wins by at least 5 points.
How it resolves
The market resolves to UCF if UCF wins the game by 5 or more points. It resolves to Arizona State otherwise. If the outcome was definitively determined by the resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome stands. If the game is canceled, does not start by November 16, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned without an official result by that time, the market resolves 50-50.
Resolution source
No resolution source is identified in this explainer.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·