Spread: Arizona (-1.5)
Gotcha risk
Low1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market has clear numerical win conditions based on a 1.5-point spread, resolving to Arizona if they win by 2 or more points and to Utah in any other scenario.
Read the full assessment
This market has clear numerical win conditions based on a 1.5-point spread, resolving to Arizona if they win by 2 or more points and to Utah in any other scenario. While the rules refer vaguely to listed resolution sources without naming a specific official sports body or statistics provider in the text, final scores for major college football games are objective and rarely contested. There is a clear fallback clause resolving the market 50-50 if the game is canceled, delayed past November 16, 2026, or abandoned without an official result.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
43%
chanceWhy it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming college football game between Utah and Arizona, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Arizona" if Arizona win the game by 2 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Utah". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
Market explained
This market measures whether Arizona covers a 1.5-point spread against Utah in their scheduled college football game.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Arizona if Arizona wins the game by 2 or more points. Otherwise, the market resolves to Utah. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, the market resolves 50-50, unless the outcome was definitively determined under the rules before abandonment.
Resolution source
No resolution source is identified in this explainer.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·