Spread: Washington (-5.5)
Gotcha risk
Low1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly define a standard point spread condition for the specified game: Washington must win by 6 or more points for the market to resolve to Washington, and any other game result resolves to Michigan State.
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly define a standard point spread condition for the specified game: Washington must win by 6 or more points for the market to resolve to Washington, and any other game result resolves to Michigan State. There is a precise backstop deadline of Monday, November 16, 2026, resolving 50-50 if the game is canceled, delayed past the window, or abandoned without an official result. Although the text refers broadly to listed resolution sources without specifying the exact official league or statistics provider, the objective nature of final college football scores leaves minimal room for ambiguity or decider discretion.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
43%
chanceWhy it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming college football game between Washington and Michigan State, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 4:15 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Washington" if Washington win the game by 6 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Michigan State". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
Market explained
This market measures whether Washington will cover a 5.5-point spread against Michigan State in their college football game. It resolves 50-50 if the game is canceled, abandoned without an official result, or delayed past the cutoff.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Washington if Washington wins the game by 6 or more points. It resolves to Michigan State if Washington does not win by at least 6 points. If the game's outcome was definitively determined under the rules by the listed sources prior to abandonment, that outcome stands. Otherwise, the market resolves 50-50 if the game is canceled, does not start by November 16, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned without an official result by that time.
Resolution source
No resolution source is identified in this explainer.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·