SportsCloses · in 14 hours$159.8 volumePart of: Washington vs. Michigan State →

Spread: Washington (-2.5)

Gotcha risk

Low

0 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: The resolution rules clearly translate the point spread into a definitive condition requiring Washington to win by three or more points, otherwise resolving to Michigan State.

Read the full assessment

The resolution rules clearly translate the point spread into a definitive condition requiring Washington to win by three or more points, otherwise resolving to Michigan State. Clear fallback terms are established if the game is postponed, canceled, or abandoned without an official result by the stated deadline.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

56%

chance
Yes56¢
No44¢
Spread -2.5 · Washington · 1MO 56.5 H 56.5 L 56.0 C 56.0−0.5 (−0.9%)

Why it moved

No big moves in the last 7 days.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between Washington and Michigan State, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 4:15 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Washington" if Washington win the game by 3 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Michigan State". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Market explained

This market measures the point spread outcome of the college football game between Washington and Michigan State. It resolves based on whether Washington wins by at least 3 points or if Michigan State covers the spread.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Washington if Washington wins the game by 3 or more points. The market resolves to Michigan State if Washington does not win by at least 3 points (including a Michigan State win or a Washington win by 2 or fewer points). If the outcome was definitively determined before abandonment, that outcome stands. Otherwise, if the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, the market resolves 50-50.

Resolution source

No resolution source is identified in this explainer.

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·