2 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The definition of a meeting requires both individuals to be present and interact in person, which broadly includes brief hallway greetings, photo ops, or multilateral summit interactions in addition to formal bilateral talks.
The definition of a meeting requires both individuals to be present and interact in person, which broadly includes brief hallway greetings, photo ops, or multilateral summit interactions in addition to formal bilateral talks. Resolution relies on a consensus of credible reporting rather than an official schedule or government readout, leaving the decider to evaluate journalistic accounts of whether an in-person interaction took place. The evaluation window covers the full calendar year of 2026 without unusual early settlement clauses.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
89%
chance▼ −0.5 pts · 24h
The market price rose from 76% to 89%, but there is insufficient evidence to identify a likely driver for the move.
News check pending.
A possible driver, not a confirmed cause. Wallets are anonymous. Activity is public on-chain; it says nothing about intent.
AI-generated · 11 Nov 2026, 11:05 UTC
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between January 1, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market measures whether Donald Trump meets in person with Mohammed bin Salman during the calendar year 2026.
The market resolves to Yes if Mohammed bin Salman meets with Donald Trump between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A meeting requires both individuals to be present and interact with each other in person. The market resolves to No if no such in-person meeting occurs within this timeframe. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting.
A consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·