Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in November?
Outcome
Yes
Polymarket resolved this market to Yes.
Yes price before close
- 7 days before close
- Not captured
- 24 hours before close
- Not captured
- 1 hour before close
Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly define the threshold, timeline, and exact evaluation metric. Resolution relies solely on objective 1-minute candle Low prices for the BTC/USDT pair on Binance through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of November. There is no decider discretion or ambiguity, though participants should be aware that only Binance BTC/USDT candle data is tracked, excluding all other exchanges and pairs.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Why it moved before close
No moves were explained in the 7 days before close.
Market explained before close
This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin drops to $77,500 or lower during November. Resolution is strictly based on the BTC/USDT 1-minute candle Low prices on Binance.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for the BTC/USDT pair has a final Low price equal to or lower than $77,500 between the creation of the market and 11:59 PM ET on the last day of November. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. Price action occurring before the creation of the market does not count. Resolution relies solely on the specified Binance BTC/USDT data, disregarding prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets.
Key dates
- End of observation period: — The market window closes at 11:59 PM ET on the last day of November.
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute chart
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Resolution rules at close
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
About this page
A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.