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CryptoCloses · in 14 hours$5.5K volumePart of: Ethereum above ___ on November 14? →

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on November 14?

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Gotcha risk

Low

0 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: This market has very specific and objective resolution rules.

Read the full assessment

This market has very specific and objective resolution rules. It identifies the exact data source (Binance ETH/USDT pair), the specific chart view (1-minute candle), the precise timestamp (12:00 PM ET on November 14), and the metric evaluated (the candle's Close price relative to $2,000). The source leaves no room for decider discretion, and there are no complex fallback conditions or non-standard tie-breakers.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

15%

chance

▼ −58.5 pts · 24h

Yes15¢
No85¢
2,000 · Yes · 1MO 84.5 H 86.0 L 11.5 C 15.0−69.5 (−82.2%)

Why it moved

Latest move

▼ −64 pts24h · detected 12 Nov 2026, 11:55 UTC

The market fell from 74% to 12% as Ethereum dropped 1.06% on Binance during the hour, slipping further below the $2,000 threshold to stand 2.18% underneath it and making an outcome above $2,000 less likely.

  • Largest hourly change: 11:00 UTC, 95% of the net 24-hour change.
  • ETH (Binance): −1.1% in the move hour, −0.6% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 37 hours after the move hour.

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

A possible driver, not a confirmed cause. Wallets are anonymous. Activity is public on-chain; it says nothing about intent.

AI-generated · 13 Nov 2026, 06:20 UTC

Earlier

▲ +22 pts · 11 Nov 2026, 15:40 UTCThe contract rose from 62% to 80% alongside a simultaneous repricing across related strike outcomes, with the $2,100 level moving down as the likely driver.Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.AI-generated · 11 Nov 2026, 16:05 UTC

Earlier

▼ −26 pts · 10 Nov 2026, 15:40 UTCThe market fell from 84% to 58% as Ethereum dropped 2.82% on Binance during the hour, making the price less likely to stay above $2,000 by November 14.Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.AI-generated · 10 Nov 2026, 16:07 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Market explained

This market measures whether Ethereum trades above $2,000 on November 14, 2026. Resolution depends exclusively on the ETH/USDT pair on Binance at a single specific minute candle rather than an average or any other exchange.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if the Binance 1-minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on November 14, 2026, has a final Close price strictly higher than $2,000. It resolves to No if the Close price is $2,000 or lower. Prices from other exchanges or other trading pairs are excluded. Precision is determined by the number of decimal places provided by the source. Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle data decides the resolution.

Resolution source

Binance ETH/USDT 1m candle close price

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·