Spread: Air Force (-11.5)
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly specify the conditions for resolution based on the final margin of victory in the game between Air Force and San Jose State.
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly specify the conditions for resolution based on the final margin of victory in the game between Air Force and San Jose State. Air Force must win by 12 points or more for the market to resolve in their favor; any other outcome, including a closer Air Force victory, a tie, or a San Jose State win, resolves to San Jose State. Standard contingency clauses clearly handle postponements or cancellations, resolving the market at 50-50 if the game is not played by November 16, 2026.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
52%
chanceWhy it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming college football game between San Jose State and Air Force, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Air Force" if Air Force win the game by 12 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "San Jose State". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
Market explained
This market measures whether Air Force covers an 11.5-point spread against San Jose State in their college football game scheduled for November 14, 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Air Force if Air Force wins the game by 12 or more points. The market resolves to San Jose State if Air Force does not win by at least 12 points. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned without an official result by that time, the market resolves 50-50, unless the outcome was already definitively determined under the rules before abandonment. The rules refer to listed resolution sources to determine the official result.
Resolution source
No resolution source is identified in this explainer.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·