brierpoınt
PolymarketResolvedOutcome: YesClosed Part of What price will Bitcoin hit November 9-15? →

Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 November 9-15?

Outcome

Yes

Polymarket resolved this market to Yes.

Final Yes price before close 82¢
Known at
$56.2K total volume

Yes price before close

7 days before close
Not captured
24 hours before close
1 hour before close

Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.

Low gotcha risk

Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment

Show full assessmentShow less

The rules are clearly defined with an objective, single data source and exact parameters. Resolution relies strictly on the BTC/USDT 1-minute candle Low prices on Binance within a specified timeframe (12:00 AM ET on November 9 to 11:59 PM ET on November 15). The market resolves immediately to Yes if the price threshold of $72,000 or lower is touched, and otherwise resolves to No at the end of the window. There is no decider discretion or reliance on outside exchanges.

Wording ambiguity
Low
Source discretion
Low
Timing risk
Low
Exceptional clauses
Low

AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Price history range

Price path to close

Yes price
0¢50¢100¢14:3622:3506:3314:31
20¢40¢60¢80¢100¢Nov 10Nov 10Nov 11Nov 12
20¢40¢60¢80¢100¢Nov 11Nov 11Nov 12Nov 12

Why it moved before close

Up 34 points · 12 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC

Coin price

The market price rose from 45% to 84%. Bitcoin dropped 0.69% on Binance during the hour of the move, bringing it within about 2% of the $72,000 threshold and making a dip to that level more likely.

  • Largest hourly change: 11:00 UTC, 61% of the net 24-hour change.
  • BTC (Binance): −0.7% in the move hour, −0.7% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 3 days after the move hour.
  • 2 related outcomes moved in the same window, 1 in the same direction. Largest: ↓ 70,000 (up), ↓ 68,000 (down).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 12 Nov 2026, 13:35 UTC

Down 11 points · 11 Nov 2026, 22:00 UTC

Close to deadline

The market fell from 57% to 47% as the deadline approached with 98 hours remaining, making a dip to $72,000 less likely over the remaining period, the likely driver of the decline.

  • Largest hourly change: 22:00 UTC, larger than the net 24-hour change.
  • BTC (Binance): −0.6% in the move hour, −0.1% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 4 days after the move hour.
  • 5 related outcomes moved in the same window, 5 in the same direction. Largest: ↑ 76,000 (down), ↓ 70,000 (down), ↑ 78,000 (down).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 12 Nov 2026, 07:05 UTC

Down 12 points · 11 Nov 2026, 22:00 UTC

Related outcomes

The price fell from 62% to 50% as five related market outcomes moved down together, the likely driver of the repricing.

  • Largest hourly change: 22:00 UTC, 92% of the net 24-hour change.
  • BTC (Binance): −0.6% in the move hour, +0.1% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 4 days after the move hour.
  • 5 related outcomes moved in the same window, 5 in the same direction. Largest: ↓ 70,000 (down), ↑ 76,000 (down), ↑ 78,000 (down).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 12 Nov 2026, 02:20 UTC

Market explained before close

This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin drops to $72,000 or lower between November 9 and November 15 on Binance. Resolution relies strictly on 1-minute candle data for the Binance BTC/USDT pair rather than spot prices or other exchanges.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for the BTC/USDT pair shows a final Low price equal to or lower than $72,000 between November 9 at 12:00 AM ET and November 15 at 11:59 PM ET. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches or falls below this price during the specified window. Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data is the sole deciding resolution source. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets are disregarded.

Key dates

  • Start of observation window: — 12:00 AM ET
  • End of observation window: — 11:59 PM ET

Resolution source

Binance BTC/USDT 1m candle chart

AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Resolution rules at close

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

About this page

A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.