brierpoınt
PolymarketResolvedOutcome: YesClosed Part of What price will Bitcoin hit November 9-15? →

Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 November 9-15?

Outcome

Yes

Polymarket resolved this market to Yes.

Final Yes price before close >99¢
Known at
$82.4K total volume

Yes price before close

7 days before close
Not captured
24 hours before close
1 hour before close

Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.

Low gotcha risk

Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment

Show full assessmentShow less

This market relies on clear, objective criteria with very little room for interpretation. It resolves immediately to Yes if any 1-minute candle's Low price on the specified Binance BTC/USDT chart reaches $68,000 or lower between 12:00 AM ET on November 9 and 11:59 PM ET on November 15; otherwise, it resolves to No. The source is a specific, public URL and trading pair, and the rules explicitly state that no other exchanges or pairs will be considered.

Wording ambiguity
Low
Source discretion
Low
Timing risk
Low
Exceptional clauses
Low

AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Price history range

Price path to close

Yes price
0¢50¢100¢06:1114:1022:0806:06
0¢50¢100¢Nov 11Nov 11Nov 12Nov 13
0¢50¢100¢Nov 12Nov 12Nov 12Nov 13

Why it moved before close

Up 70 points · 12 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC

Coin price

The market rose from 10% to 76% as Bitcoin fell 1.18% on Binance during the hour and 3.17% over the window, making a dip to $68,000 more likely.

  • Largest hourly change: 14:00 UTC, 72% of the net 24-hour change.
  • BTC (Binance): −1.2% in the move hour, −3.2% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 3 days after the move hour.
  • 5 related outcomes moved in the same window, 3 in the same direction. Largest: ↓ 70,000 (up), ↓ 72,000 (up), ↓ 66,000 (up).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 13 Nov 2026, 05:05 UTC

Market explained before close

This market measures whether Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) dips to $68,000 or lower on Binance between November 9 and November 15.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for the BTC/USDT pair has a final Low price equal to or lower than $68,000 between November 9 at 12:00 AM ET and November 15 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. The sole deciding source is the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle chart. Prices from other exchanges, other trading pairs, or spot markets are disregarded.

Key dates

  • Start of observation window: — 12:00 AM ET
  • End of observation window: — 11:59 PM ET

Resolution source

Binance BTC/USDT 1m chart

AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Resolution rules at close

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

About this page

A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.