Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4?
Gotcha risk
Medium3 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules provide clear thresholds for the over/under line, specific void conditions, and a primary statistical source.
Read the full assessment
The rules provide clear thresholds for the over/under line, specific void conditions, and a primary statistical source. However, there is a notable structural ambiguity regarding how the market resolves if a Game 4 is never played simply because the best-of-five series ends in a 3-0 sweep. While the rules explicitly outline a 50-50 resolution if Game 4 is unplayed due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, they do not specify whether an unplayed Game 4 resulting from a series sweep resolves to Under or 50-50. Additionally, if the primary statistics website fails to report within two hours, the resolver may fall back on a consensus of reporting and video review.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Medium
- Exceptions
- Medium
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
62%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming Grand Final match between Bilibili Gaming and Gen.G in the Worlds Playoffs, initially scheduled for November 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market is about the total kills in Game 4. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total kills in Game 4 is 25 or more. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under". If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If Game 4 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is remade, resolution will be based on the total kills in the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Market explained
This market measures whether the total kills in Game 4 of the Grand Final between Bilibili Gaming and Gen.G will be 25 or more. Resolution is unusual because several failure scenarios—such as match cancellation, unplayed game, uncompleted game, or extended postponement—resolve to 50-50.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Over if the total kills in Game 4 is 25 or more. It resolves to Under if the total kills in Game 4 is 24 or fewer. If Game 4 is remade, resolution is based solely on total kills in the remade game. The market resolves to 50-50 if the match is canceled, if Game 4 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, or if Game 4 starts but is not completed. It also resolves to 50-50 if a postponed match is not rescheduled to start on or before November 28, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Official information from gol.gg decides the outcome, or a consensus of credible reporting including video evidence if gol.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after conclusion.
Resolution source
official information from gol.gg, with credible reporting consensus and video evidence as fallback
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·