Big Game: Coin toss winner wins the Big Game?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly specify that resolution depends on matching the winner of the opening coin toss to the ultimate winner of Super Bowl LXI.
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly specify that resolution depends on matching the winner of the opening coin toss to the ultimate winner of Super Bowl LXI. The coin toss winner is strictly defined by which team receives the choice to receive, defer, or defend. Resolution relies on official NFL data and broadcasts, with a clear fallback deadline and a 50-50 clause in case of significant postponement or cancellation.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
51%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the team that wins the opening coin toss at Super Bowl LXI also wins Super Bowl LXI. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to “No” if the team that wins the opening coin toss does not win Super Bowl LXI. The winner of the opening coin toss at Super Bowl LXI will be the team that gets to choose whether to receive, defer, or choose a goal to defend as a result of the opening coin toss. If Super Bowl LXI is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, there is no coin toss outcome determined within that timeframe, or no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL (including the official broadcast of Super Bowl LXI); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market explained
This market measures whether the team that wins the opening coin toss at Super Bowl LXI also wins the game.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the team winning the opening coin toss at Super Bowl LXI also wins Super Bowl LXI. The coin toss winner is the team that gets to choose whether to receive, defer, or select a goal to defend. The market resolves to No if the team that wins the opening coin toss does not win the game. The market resolves to 50-50 if the game is cancelled, postponed past February 28, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, or if no coin toss outcome or game winner is determined by that time. Official information from the NFL, including the official broadcast, serves as the primary resolution source, with a consensus of credible reporting as a secondary option.
Resolution source
Official information from the NFL (including the official broadcast of Super Bowl LXI), or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·