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CryptoCloses · in 3 days$472.2 volumePart of: Bitcoin above ___ on November 17? →

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 17?

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Gotcha risk

Low

0 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: This market features clear, objective resolution criteria.

Read the full assessment

This market features clear, objective resolution criteria. The outcome is determined by a single data point: the final Close price of the 1-minute BTC/USDT candle on Binance at precisely 12:00 PM ET on November 17. The resolution source is explicitly defined with a direct URL and specific interface settings, leaving virtually no room for decider discretion or timing confusion. A reader looking at only the question might mistakenly look at an index average or a different exchange, but the rules clearly specify Binance's BTC/USDT pair as the sole determinant.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

16%

chance

▼ −52.5 pts · 24h

Yes16¢
No84¢
72,000 · Yes · 1MO 69.0 H 80.0 L 10.0 C 16.0−53.0 (−76.8%)

Why it moved

Latest move

▼ −62 pts24h · detected 12 Nov 2026, 11:55 UTC

The probability of Bitcoin being above $72,000 on November 17 dropped from 73% to 10%. Bitcoin fell 0.69% on Binance during the move hour to sit about 2% below the $72,000 threshold, making reaching that price level less likely.

  • Largest hourly change: 11:00 UTC, 68% of the net 24-hour change.
  • BTC (Binance): −0.7% in the move hour, −0.7% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 4 days after the move hour.
  • 2 related outcomes moved in the same window, 2 in the same direction. Largest: 74,000 (down), 76,000 (down).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

A possible driver, not a confirmed cause. Wallets are anonymous. Activity is public on-chain; it says nothing about intent.

AI-generated · 13 Nov 2026, 06:20 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Market explained

This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin exceeds $72,000 at a specific minute on November 17, 2026. Resolution depends exclusively on a single 1-minute candle on Binance for the BTC/USDT pair rather than an aggregate index or full-day price action.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on November 17, 2026, has a final Close price strictly higher than $72,000. It resolves to No if the Close price is less than or equal to $72,000. Prices from other exchanges or trading pairs are excluded. Resolution is decided by Binance data using the 1m candle view for the BTC/USDT pair, with precision matching the decimal places in the source.

Resolution source

Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·