Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 18?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules provide very precise and objective resolution criteria.
Read the full assessment
The rules provide very precise and objective resolution criteria. The market specifies an exact exchange (Binance), trading pair (BTC/USDT), timeframe (1-minute candle), and timestamp (closing at 12:00 ET on November 18). There is virtually no room for subjective interpretation or decider discretion, as the outcome rests entirely on a single numerical data point from a clearly identified primary source.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
1%
chanceWhy it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Binance BTC/USDT price is above $78,000 at a specific minute on November 18, 2026. Resolution depends exclusively on a single 1-minute candle on Binance rather than broader market averages or other exchanges.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on November 18, 2026, has a final Close price strictly higher than $78,000. The market resolves to No if the Close price is equal to or less than $78,000. Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data decides the outcome, with price precision defined by the source exchange.
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candles
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·