Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Gotcha risk
High2 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The market hinges on an event that lacks objective, universally agreed-upon empirical verification criteria.
Read the full assessment
The market hinges on an event that lacks objective, universally agreed-upon empirical verification criteria. Because resolution depends on a consensus of credible reporting rather than an authoritative, definitive standard, the resolving entity has broad discretion in determining whether any reported religious event or claim meets the definition of the event described. The deadline of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET is clearly specified, but holders must navigate inherent ambiguity regarding what evidence or reporting would be accepted as proof.
- Resolver
- High
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- High
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
1%
chance▲ +0.7 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if The Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs before 2027.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if The Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The market resolves to No if this event does not occur by that deadline. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible sources.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible sources
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·