Pacifica FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Gotcha risk
Medium2 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly specify the exact calculation cutoff time as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch, as well as a definitive longstop date resolving to No if no token launches by the end of 2026.
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly specify the exact calculation cutoff time as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch, as well as a definitive longstop date resolving to No if no token launches by the end of 2026. However, the resolution source is broadly specified as the most liquid price source available rather than a named price aggregator or exchange. This introduces some discretion in determining which venue had the highest liquidity at the exact timestamp, which could affect the final price and total token supply calculation if different data providers report conflicting figures.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Medium
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
3%
chance▼ −0.05 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Pacifica's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Pacifica (https://x.com/pacifica_fi) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Market explained
This market measures whether the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of Pacifica's token exceeds $800 million one day after launch, defined specifically as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Pacifica's token Fully Diluted Valuation (total token supply multiplied by token price) is greater than $800M at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following its launch. A launch requires the token to be actively, publicly transferable and tradable. The market resolves to No if the FDV is not greater than $800M at that time, or if Pacifica does not launch a token by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Token pricing is determined by the most liquid price source available.
Resolution source
The most liquid price source available
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·