Pacifica FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Gotcha risk
Medium2 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules establish a specific snapshot time at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch and provide an ultimate expiry date of December 31, 2026.
Read the full assessment
The rules establish a specific snapshot time at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch and provide an ultimate expiry date of December 31, 2026. However, the resolution source is vaguely specified as the most liquid price source available without naming a specific exchange, aggregator, or metric for liquidity, which leaves discretion to the resolver to choose the pricing venue. Additionally, the definition of total supply relies on external tokenomics data that is not explicitly anchored to a named tracking provider.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Medium
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Last captured price
2%
chance▲ +0.55 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Pacifica's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Pacifica (https://x.com/pacifica_fi) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Market explained
This market measures whether Pacifica's token reaches a Fully Diluted Valuation above $2B exactly one day after its launch.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of Pacifica's token is greater than $2B at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. A launch requires the token to be actively, publicly transferable and tradable. FDV is calculated as the total token supply multiplied by the token price. The market resolves to No if the FDV is not greater than $2B at that specified time, or if Pacifica does not launch a token by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is determined using the most liquid price source available.
Resolution source
The most liquid price source available
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·