Pacifica FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Gotcha risk
Medium1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules provide a clear mathematical formula for FDV and set an exact timestamp for measurement at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch, along with a definitive long-stop expiry date.
Read the full assessment
The rules provide a clear mathematical formula for FDV and set an exact timestamp for measurement at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch, along with a definitive long-stop expiry date. However, the resolution relies on 'the most liquid price source available' without specifying an exact exchange, aggregator, or metric for determining which source has the highest liquidity, leaving room for interpretation if price feeds diverge across platforms.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Pacifica's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Pacifica (https://x.com/pacifica_fi) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Market explained
This market measures whether the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of Pacifica's token exceeds $3 billion exactly one day after its launch.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Pacifica's token Fully Diluted Valuation is greater than $3 billion at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. A launch requires the token to be actively, publicly transferable and tradable. FDV is calculated as total token supply multiplied by the token price. The market resolves to No if the FDV is not above $3 billion at that time, or if Pacifica does not launch a token by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The deciding source is the most liquid price source available.
Resolution source
The most liquid price source available
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·