Next Greek Parliamentary Election: Party Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: ND at 94% · first close Jul 26, 2027 · $28.1K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the next Greek parliamentary election, scheduled before July 25, 2027. Markets measure which political party or coalition will secure the greatest number of seats in the Hellenic Parliament.
How the outcomes relate
Each market represents a specific political party. Because the rules state the event resolves to the single party that wins the greatest number of seats (with tiebreaker rules for votes and alphabetical order), at most one market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
A market resolves Yes if its designated political party wins the greatest number of seats in the Hellenic Parliament as a result of the next Greek parliamentary election. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting, or by official Greek government reports if ambiguous. If a tie occurs, the party with more valid votes wins, followed by alphabetical order of abbreviations. If voting does not occur or results remain ambiguous by December 31, 2027, the event resolves to 'Other'. Coalitions follow specific seat-aggregation rules.
Key dates
- Scheduled election deadline: — Elections to elect the Hellenic Parliament are scheduled to be held before this date.
- Resolution fallback cutoff: — If voting has not occurred or ambiguity remains by this date, the market resolves to 'Other'.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, or the Greek government in case of ambiguity
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ND | 94% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| ELAS | 7% | ±0 | Med | Med | |
| PASOK-KINAL | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| SYRIZA | — | — | Med | Med | |
| KKE | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| EL | — | — | Not rated | Med | |
| NIKI | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| PE | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| ELPIDA | — | — | Not rated | — |