PolymarketEvent4 live of 4 outcomes

Tainan Mayor Election Winner

4 live outcomes · highest priced: Chen Ting-fei at 96% · first close Nov 29, 2026 · $20.8K total volume

About this event

This event tracks the outcome of the next Tainan mayoral election in Taiwan. Markets measure which candidate will win the election and become the next Mayor of Tainan.

How the outcomes relate

Each market corresponds to a specific candidate running for Mayor of Tainan. Because the event resolves according to the single candidate who becomes the next mayor as a result of the election, at most one candidate market can resolve Yes.

How it resolves

A candidate's market resolves to Yes if that individual becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of the scheduled local election; otherwise, it resolves to No. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed prior to the election are not considered. If the election outcome remains unknown or no candidate is elected by June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other. Resolution relies on a consensus of credible reporting, or solely on official results from Taiwan's Central Election Commission if ambiguity arises.

Key dates

  • Scheduled election date: — Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to take place.
  • Resolution cutoff: — If no result is known or no candidate is elected by 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other.

Resolution source

A consensus of credible reporting, or official results from the Taiwanese government's Central Election Commission if ambiguous.

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Outcomes for Tainan Mayor Election Winner
OutcomePrice24hGotcha riskTradabilityCloses
Chen Ting-fei96%±0LowMed
Hsieh Lung-chieh4%▲ 1LowMed
Lin Yi-feng<1%±0LowLow
Lin Chun-hsien<1%±0LowLow

Highest-priced outcome

Chen Ting-fei · 7 daysRange 96–97%