Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
10 live outcomes · highest priced: Gavin Newsom at 10% (+1 pts in 24h) · first close Jan 1, 2027 · $1.4M total volume
About this event
This event tracks whether specified individuals will officially declare their candidacy for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before 2027. Each market assesses a separate person's announcement timing.
How the outcomes relate
The event consists of one market per individual. Because multiple individuals can announce presidential campaigns within the specified timeframe, more than one market can resolve Yes, or all may resolve No.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if the listed individual officially announces they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. An official announcement (via speech, social media, etc.) is sufficient regardless of whether formal nomination papers are filed. If no such announcement occurs by the deadline, the market resolves to No. Primary resolution relies on official statements from the individual or a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Announcement deadline: — December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Official statements by the listed individual (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Newsom | 10% | ▲ 1 | Low | Med | |
| Pete Buttigieg | 6% | ▲ 1 | Med | Med | |
| Kamala Harris | 4% | ▲ 2 | Med | Med | |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 4% | ▲ 1 | Low | High | |
| Hunter Biden | 2% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Jon Ossoff | 2% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Josh Shapiro | 2% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Marco Rubio | 2% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Donald Trump | 1% | ±0 | Med | High | |
| Ron DeSantis | 1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Ted Cruz | 5% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Steve Bannon | 4% | ▼ 1 | Med | Med | |
| Cory Booker | 3% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Zohran Mamdani | 1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Michelle Obama | <1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Don Lemon | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Wes Moore | — | — | Not rated | Med | |
| Stephen A. Smith | — | — | Not rated | Med | |
| Gretchen Whitmer | — | — | Not rated | Low | |
| Andy Beshear | — | — | Not rated | Med | |
| Mark Cuban | — | — | Not rated | Med | |
| J.B. Pritzker | — | — | Not rated | Med | |
| Raphael Warnock | — | — | Not rated | Med | |
| Tim Walz | — | — | Not rated | Med | |
| Mark Kelly | — | — | Not rated | Med | |
| Rahm Emanuel | — | — | Not rated | Med | |
| Gina Raimondo | — | — | Not rated | High | |
| Roy Cooper | — | — | Not rated | Med | |
| John Fetterman | — | — | Not rated | Med | |
| Jared Polis | — | — | Not rated | Med | |
| Jon Stewart | — | — | Not rated | High | |
| Barack Obama | — | — | Not rated | Med | |
| Hillary Clinton | — | — | Not rated | High | |
| Liz Cheney | — | — | Not rated | Med | |
| Bernie Sanders | — | — | Not rated | Med | |
| Phil Murphy | — | — | Not rated | Med | |
| LeBron James | — | — | Not rated | High | |
| George Clooney | — | — | Not rated | Med | |
| Chelsea Clinton | — | — | Not rated | Med | |
| MrBeast | — | — | Not rated | Med | |
| Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson | — | — | Not rated | High | |
| Oprah Winfrey | — | — | Not rated | Med | |
| Andrew Yang | — | — | Not rated | Med | |
| Beto O’Rourke | — | — | Not rated | High | |
| Kim Kardashian | — | — | Not rated | Med | |
| J.D. Vance | — | — | Not rated | Med | |
| Tulsi Gabbard | — | — | Not rated | Med | |
| Glenn Youngkin | — | — | Not rated | High | |
| Donald Trump Jr. | — | — | Not rated | Med | |
| Nikki Haley | — | — | Not rated | Med | |
| Vivek Ramaswamy | — | — | Not rated | Med | |
| Sarah Huckabee Sanders | — | — | Not rated | Med | |
| Greg Abbott | — | — | Not rated | Med | |
| Brian Kemp | — | — | Not rated | Med | |
| Byron Donalds | — | — | Not rated | Med | |
| Elise Stefanik | — | — | Not rated | Med | |
| Josh Hawley | — | — | Not rated | Med | |
| Elon Musk | — | — | Not rated | Med | |
| Matt Gaetz | — | — | Not rated | Med | |
| Katie Britt | — | — | Not rated | High | |
| John Thune | — | — | Not rated | Med | |
| Kristi Noem | — | — | Not rated | Med | |
| Mike Pence | — | — | Not rated | High | |
| Tucker Carlson | — | — | Not rated | Med | |
| Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | — | — | Not rated | High | |
| Ivanka Trump | — | — | Not rated | Med | |
| Tom Brady | — | — | Not rated | Med | |
| Rand Paul | — | — | Not rated | Med | |
| Erika Kirk | — | — | Not rated | Med | |
| Marjorie Taylor Greene | — | — | Not rated | Med | |
| Candace Owens | — | — | Not rated | Med |