Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?
3 live outcomes · highest priced: Jon Ossoff at 66% (+6 pts in 24h) · first close Dec 31, 2026 · $254.1K total volume
About this event
This event tracks whether various political figures will officially announce a campaign for U.S. President in the 2028 election prior to the end of 2027. Each market measures whether a specific named individual makes an official announcement by the specified deadline.
How the outcomes relate
The event is structured as individual markets for each candidate. Multiple markets can resolve Yes, as any number of listed individuals can announce a presidential run before the deadline. Each market resolves independently based on the actions of the specified individual.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if the listed individual officially, explicitly, and unambiguously announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 election by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Filing a nomination is not required. Conditional, sarcastic, jesting, or immediately retracted statements do not qualify. If no qualifying announcement is made by the deadline, the market resolves to No.
Key dates
- Announcement deadline: — December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Official statements by the listed individual (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Ossoff | 66% | ▲ 6 | Low | Med | |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 60% | ▲ 1 | Low | Med | |
| Marco Rubio | 59% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Gavin Newsom | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Pete Buttigieg | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Josh Shapiro | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Wes Moore | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Stephen A. Smith | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Kamala Harris | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Gretchen Whitmer | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Andy Beshear | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Mark Cuban | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| J.B. Pritzker | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Raphael Warnock | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Cory Booker | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Tim Walz | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Michelle Obama | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Mark Kelly | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Rahm Emanuel | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Gina Raimondo | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Zohran Mamdani | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Roy Cooper | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| John Fetterman | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Jared Polis | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Jon Stewart | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Barack Obama | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Hillary Clinton | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Liz Cheney | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Bernie Sanders | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Phil Murphy | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| LeBron James | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Hunter Biden | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| George Clooney | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Chelsea Clinton | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| MrBeast | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Oprah Winfrey | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Andrew Yang | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Beto O’Rourke | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Kim Kardashian | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Donald Trump | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| J.D. Vance | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Tulsi Gabbard | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Glenn Youngkin | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Donald Trump Jr. | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Ron DeSantis | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Nikki Haley | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Vivek Ramaswamy | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Sarah Huckabee Sanders | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Greg Abbott | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Brian Kemp | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Byron Donalds | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Elise Stefanik | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Josh Hawley | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Ted Cruz | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Elon Musk | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Matt Gaetz | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Katie Britt | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| John Thune | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Kristi Noem | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Mike Pence | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Tucker Carlson | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Ivanka Trump | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Tom Brady | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Rand Paul | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Steve Bannon | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Erika Kirk | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Marjorie Taylor Greene | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Don Lemon | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Candace Owens | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Chris Christie | — | — | Not rated | — |