Gotcha risk and tradability for each outcome are on the event page.
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707 live markets · prices from Polymarket · Gotcha risk and tradability on every market card
Live markets707of Polymarket's most active
Moved ≥ 5 pts, 24h193▲ 90 up · ▼ 103 down
Biggest moves, 24h
- Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in November?▲ +60 pts → 75%
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?▲ +39 pts → 67%
- Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 November 9-15?▲ +38 pts → 24%
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?▲ +25 pts → 49%
- Will Vitality Win the BLAST Rivals Hong Kong 2026?▼ −24 pts → 8%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?
37%chanceSince Nov 9▼ −3 ptsYes37¢No64¢Gotcha medium · 3 of 4 flaggedResolverWordingExceptions▼ −17 pts · 24h2 related outcomes moved in the same window, 2 in the same direction. Largest: November 22 (down), November 30 (down).US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?
2%chance7 days▼ −6 ptsYes2¢No98¢Gotcha medium · 2 of 4 flaggedResolverWordingLouisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. UNCW Seahawks
49%chanceSince 06:56 UTC▲ +1 ptsYes49¢No52¢Gotcha low · 1 of 4 flaggedResolverRussia x Ukraine energy ceasefire agreement by November 15, 2026?
1%chanceSince Nov 12▼ −2 ptsYes1¢No99¢Gotcha medium · 3 of 4 flaggedResolverWordingExceptionsGTA 6 launch postponed again?
<1%chance7 days↔ ±0 ptsYes<1¢No>99¢Gotcha low · 1 of 4 flaggedResolverUFC 334: Cesar Almeida vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Prelims)
39%chanceSince 00:56 UTC↔ ±0 ptsYes39¢No62¢Gotcha low · nothing flaggedPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 14?
<1%chanceSince Nov 10▼ −6 ptsYes<1¢No>99¢Gotcha medium · 2 of 4 flaggedResolverExceptionsUFC 334: Kevin Holland vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card)
41%chanceSince Nov 11▼ −2 ptsYes41¢No60¢Gotcha low · nothing flaggedWill Anthropic IPO by November 16, 2026?
<1%chanceSince Nov 11↔ ±0 ptsYes<1¢No>99¢Gotcha low · 1 of 4 flaggedResolverUFC 334: Stephen Thompson vs. Charles Radtke (Welterweight, Prelims)
56%chanceSince 00:56 UTC▼ −1 ptsYes56¢No44¢Gotcha low · nothing flaggedNATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?
<1%chance7 days▼ −1 ptsYes<1¢No>99¢Gotcha medium · 3 of 4 flaggedResolverWordingExceptionsUFC 334: Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)
39%chanceSince Nov 10▲ +1 ptsYes39¢No62¢Gotcha low · nothing flaggedUS imports Russian diesel by November 15?
2%chanceSince Nov 11▲ +1 ptsYes2¢No98¢Gotcha medium · 1 of 4 flaggedResolverMarco Rubio out as Secretary of State by November 15, 2026?
<1%chance7 days▼ −3 ptsYes<1¢No>99¢Gotcha medium · 2 of 4 flaggedResolverExceptionsExact Score: Wycombe Wanderers FC 0 - 0 Huddersfield Town AFC?
99%chanceSince Nov 9▲ +2 ptsYes99¢No1¢Gotcha medium · 1 of 4 flaggedExceptionsWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $66,000 on November 14?
5%chanceSince 00:56 UTC▲ +4 ptsYes5¢No95¢Gotcha low · nothing flaggedUFC 334: Evan Elder vs. Samuel Sanches (Lightweight, Early Prelims)
48%chanceSince 00:56 UTC↔ ±0 ptsYes48¢No53¢Gotcha low · nothing flaggedUFC 334: Caio Borralho vs. Yousri Belgaroui (Middleweight, Main Card)
59%chanceSince Nov 11↔ ±0 ptsYes59¢No42¢Gotcha low · nothing flaggedWill Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?
39%chance7 days▼ −14 ptsYes39¢No62¢Gotcha low · 1 of 4 flaggedResolver▼ −6 pts · 24hWill Peterborough United FC win on 2026-11-14?
<1%chanceSince Nov 11↔ ±0 ptsYes<1¢No>99¢Gotcha low · nothing flaggedBoston College vs. Notre Dame
3%chanceSince Nov 12↔ ±0 ptsYes3¢No98¢Gotcha low · 1 of 4 flaggedResolverWill Solana reach $160 November 9-15?
<1%chanceSince Nov 11▲ +1 ptsYes<1¢No>99¢Gotcha low · nothing flaggedFrance declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026?
<1%chance7 days↔ ±0 ptsYes<1¢No>99¢Gotcha low · nothing flaggedUFC 334: Macy Chiasson vs. Bia Mesquita (Women's Bantamweight, Early Prelims)
30%chanceSince 00:56 UTC↔ ±0 ptsYes30¢No71¢Gotcha low · nothing flaggedWill Notts County FC win on 2026-11-14?
<1%chanceSince Nov 11▼ −1 ptsYes<1¢No>99¢Gotcha low · nothing flaggedWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on November 18?
30%chanceSince 00:56 UTC▼ −25 ptsYes30¢No70¢Gotcha low · nothing flaggedWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on November 15?
52%chanceSince 00:56 UTC▲ +16 ptsYes52¢No48¢Gotcha low · nothing flaggedWill Wales win on 2026-11-14?
8%chanceSince 02:56 UTC↔ ±0 ptsYes8¢No93¢Gotcha low · nothing flaggedExact Score: Rotherham United FC 0 - 0 Crawley Town FC?
97%chanceSince 00:56 UTC↔ ±0 ptsYes97¢No3¢Gotcha medium · 1 of 4 flaggedExceptionsRotherham United FC vs. Crawley Town FC: Neither team to score first?
97%chanceSince Nov 10▲ +2 ptsYes97¢No3¢Gotcha low · nothing flaggedWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on November 14?
5%chanceSince Nov 9▼ −52 ptsYes5¢No95¢Gotcha low · nothing flagged▼ −10 pts · 24hCloses 2 days after the move hour.Will ASD Pineto Calcio win on 2026-11-14?
<1%chanceSince 00:56 UTC↔ ±0 ptsYes<1¢No>99¢Gotcha low · nothing flaggedWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,700 on November 16?
2%chanceSince Nov 11↔ ±0 ptsYes2¢No98¢Gotcha low · nothing flagged↔ ±0 pts · 24hETH (Binance): −5.6% over 24 hours.+4 more outcomes +3 more outcomes Gotcha risk and tradability for each outcome are on the event page.
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Gotcha risk and tradability for each outcome are on the event page.
- Ends before Round 5?63%Gane to win by KO/TKO?43%Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane35%Fight to Go the Distance?29%Ends before Round 2?26%
Gotcha risk and tradability for each outcome are on the event page.
+6 more outcomes Gotcha risk and tradability for each outcome are on the event page.
Gotcha risk and tradability for each outcome are on the event page.
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+5 more outcomes Gotcha risk and tradability for each outcome are on the event page.
+1 more outcomes Gotcha risk and tradability for each outcome are on the event page.