Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Xiaomi at 13% · first close Jul 1, 2027 · $272.2K total volume
About this event
This event tracks whether specified companies will be added to the U.S. Department of Defense's Section 1260H Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027.
How the outcomes relate
The event contains one binary market for each candidate company. More than one market can resolve Yes if multiple specified companies are added to the list.
How it resolves
A market resolves Yes if the specified company (or its parent company or subsidiary), having been unnamed on the June 8, 2026 list, is added to the official Section 1260H list published by the U.S. Department of Defense in the Federal Register, on its official website, or via an official DoD announcement/notice by June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. The addition qualifies even if later retracted, withdrawn, or unenforced. If no qualifying addition or announcement occurs by the deadline, the market resolves No.
Key dates
- Baseline list date: — Reference date for companies unnamed on the initial list
- Resolution deadline: — Deadline at 11:59 PM ET for qualifying additions to occur
Resolution source
A consensus of credible reporting and official information from the Department of Defense
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xiaomi | 13% | ±0 | Med | Med | |
| ByteDance | 12% | ▼ 1 | Med | Med | |
| Moonshot AI | 22% | ▼ 1 | Low | Med | |
| DeepSeek | — | — | Low | Med |