Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
Gotcha risk
Low1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market resolves using official announcement data and publications from the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences.
Read the full assessment
This market resolves using official announcement data and publications from the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences. Nomination counts across categories are objective and verifiable. The most critical mechanical detail to note is the tie-breaker: if multiple films share the top nomination count, the market resolves strictly by alphabetical order of the film title rather than splitting or resolving negatively. A clear deadline of June 30, 2027, exists if nominations are delayed.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Medium
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Last captured price
86%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film. In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market explained
This market measures whether the film "The Odyssey" will receive the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards. Ties are broken alphabetically by film title.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if "The Odyssey" receives the greatest number of Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards, including winning an alphabetical tiebreaker against any other tied films. Nominations count if the film or its crew, cast, or production members are nominated for work related to the film. The market resolves to No if another film receives more nominations or wins the alphabetical tiebreaker. The market resolves to Other if no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. The primary resolution source is official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, with credible reporting consensus as a secondary source.
Resolution source
Official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS (including their website and live broadcast), or a consensus of credible reporting.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·