Will D.C. United win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Outcome
No
Polymarket resolved this market to No.
No price before close
- 7 days before close
- Not captured
- 24 hours before close
- Not captured
- 1 hour before close
- Not captured
Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves based on the winner of the 2026 MLS Cup, with Major League Soccer serving as the primary authority. Participants should note the early resolution clause: the market can resolve to No ahead of the final if D.C. United is mathematically eliminated from contention. Additionally, if the season is cancelled or postponed beyond December 31, 2026, without a winner declared, the market resolves to Other.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Why it moved before close
No moves were explained in the 7 days before close.
Market explained before close
This market measures whether D.C. United will win the 2026 Major League Soccer championship by winning the 2026 MLS Cup.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if D.C. United wins the 2026 MLS Cup. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for D.C. United to win the 2026 MLS Cup under MLS rules, such as through mathematical elimination. The market resolves to Other if the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed beyond December 31, 2026 ET, or if no winner is declared by that date. Major League Soccer is the primary resolution source, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Postponement and resolution cutoff: — The 2026 MLS Cup winner must be declared by this date ET to avoid resolving to Other.
Resolution source
Major League Soccer
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Resolution rules at close
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
About this page
A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.