MLS Cup Winner 2026
11 live outcomes · highest priced: FC Dallas at 5% · first close Jan 1, 2027 · $23.8M total volume
About this event
This event tracks which Major League Soccer team will win the 2026 MLS Cup. Each market measures whether a specific club wins the championship for the 2026 season.
How the outcomes relate
The event is structured as individual markets for each team. Because only one team can win the 2026 MLS Cup, at most one team's market can resolve Yes, while all other eliminated teams resolve No.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the 2026 MLS Cup. A market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for the listed team to win per MLS rules (such as mathematical elimination). If the 2026 season is cancelled, postponed beyond December 31, 2026 ET, or no winner is declared within that window, the market resolves to Other. Resolution is determined via official information from Major League Soccer or a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Season resolution deadline: — Deadline for the 2026 MLS Cup to conclude before markets resolve to Other
Resolution source
Major League Soccer
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dallas | 5% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Los Angeles FC | 4% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Chicago Fire FC | 4% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| New England Revolution | 4% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Houston Dynamo FC | 3% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Charlotte FC | 3% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| San Jose Earthquakes | 3% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| FC Cincinnati | 1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Orlando City SC | <1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Seattle Sounders FC | <1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Real Salt Lake | <1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Atlanta United FC | — | — | Low | Low | Resolved |
| Austin FC | — | — | Low | Low | Resolved |
| Colorado Rapids | — | — | Low | Med | Resolved |
| Columbus Crew | — | — | Low | Low | |
| D.C. United | — | — | Low | Low | Resolved |
| LA Galaxy | — | — | Low | Low | Resolved |
| Minnesota United FC | — | — | Low | Med | Resolved |
| Inter Miami CF | — | — | Not rated | Med | |
| CF Montréal | — | — | Low | Low | Resolved |
| Nashville SC | — | — | Low | Med | |
| New York City FC | — | — | Low | Med | Resolved |
| New York Red Bulls | — | — | Low | Med | Resolved |
| Philadelphia Union | — | — | Low | Med | |
| Portland Timbers | — | — | Low | Med | |
| San Diego FC | — | — | Low | Med | Resolved |
| Sporting Kansas City | — | — | Low | Low | Resolved |
| St. Louis City SC | — | — | Low | Med | |
| Toronto FC | — | — | Low | Low | Resolved |
| Vancouver Whitecaps FC | — | — | Low | High |