Will LA Galaxy win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Outcome
No
Polymarket resolved this market to No.
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Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves based on official information from Major League Soccer regarding the champion of the 2026 MLS Cup. The outcome is straightforward, but participants should note two specific rules: the market can resolve to No before the season ends if the team is mathematically eliminated from winning the title, and the market resolves to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed beyond December 31, 2026, or concludes without a declared winner.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Why it moved before close
No moves were explained in the 7 days before close.
Market explained before close
This market measures whether the LA Galaxy will win the 2026 MLS Cup. It features an unusual early-resolution condition if the team becomes mathematically eliminated, and a special fallback resolving to Other if the season is cancelled or delayed past 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the LA Galaxy wins the 2026 MLS Cup. The market resolves to No if another team wins or if it becomes impossible for the LA Galaxy to win per MLS rules, such as through mathematical elimination. The market resolves to Other if the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed past December 31, 2026 ET, or if no winner is declared by that time. Official information from Major League Soccer serves as the primary resolution source, with a consensus of credible reporting accepted as an alternative.
Key dates
- Season deadline: — Market resolves to Other if no winner is declared by this date ET
Resolution source
Major League Soccer
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Resolution rules at close
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
About this page
A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.