Will Sporting Kansas City win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Outcome
No
Polymarket resolved this market to No.
No price before close
- 7 days before close
- 24 hours before close
- Not captured
- 1 hour before close
- Not captured
Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment
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The outcome is clearly defined by whether Sporting Kansas City wins the 2026 MLS Cup, relying primarily on official data from Major League Soccer. Holders should note an early resolution clause that will resolve the market to 'No' immediately if the team becomes mathematically eliminated from contention prior to the final. Additionally, if the season is cancelled or not concluded by December 31, 2026, the market resolves to 'Other'.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Why it moved before close
No moves were explained in the 7 days before close.
Market explained before close
This market measures whether Sporting Kansas City will win the 2026 MLS Cup. It features an early resolution condition if the team becomes mathematically eliminated before the season ends.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Sporting Kansas City wins the 2026 MLS Cup. The market resolves to No if another team wins the 2026 MLS Cup, or immediately once it becomes impossible for Sporting Kansas City to win under MLS rules, such as mathematical elimination. The market resolves to Other if the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed beyond December 31, 2026 ET, or if no winner is declared by that date. Major League Soccer official information is the primary resolution source, alongside a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Season conclusion cutoff: — Market resolves to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed past this date, or has no declared winner.
Resolution source
Major League Soccer
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Resolution rules at close
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
About this page
A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.