Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?
Gotcha risk
Medium2 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly specify the end date of December 31, 2026, and primary sources such as official government announcements, alongside credible reporting.
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly specify the end date of December 31, 2026, and primary sources such as official government announcements, alongside credible reporting. However, a major exceptional clause triggers immediate 'Yes' resolution upon any announcement of resignation or removal, even if the actual departure is scheduled for a future date outside the market window or is later rescinded before taking effect. Observers should be aware that announced departures count immediately regardless of effective implementation.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- High
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
9%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Edi Rama ceases to be the Prime Minister of Albania for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Rama's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Edi Rama and the Albanian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market explained
This market measures whether Edi Rama ceases to be the Prime Minister of Albania by the end of 2026. A notable feature is that an announcement of his resignation or removal triggers an immediate Yes resolution, regardless of when it actually takes effect.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Edi Rama ceases to be Prime Minister of Albania for any period between market creation and December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. An official announcement of his resignation or removal before the market end date immediately resolves the market to Yes, even if the effective date occurs later. The market resolves to No if he does not cease to be Prime Minister within this timeframe. Resolution is determined using official information from Edi Rama and the Albanian government, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution source
Official information from Edi Rama and the Albanian government, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·