Will Wes Moore be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly define the winning condition as the first individual formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President in the 2028 election cycle who accepts the nomination.
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly define the winning condition as the first individual formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President in the 2028 election cycle who accepts the nomination. Resolution relies on official Democratic Party sources, including the official party website. The criteria explicitly address potential edge cases by stating that any subsequent replacement of the nominee after the initial formal nomination will not alter the resolution, ensuring standard and predictable resolution mechanics.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
6%
chance▲ +0.05 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market explained
This market measures whether Wes Moore will become the official 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee. Resolution depends on who first accepts the formal nomination, meaning subsequent replacements prior to election day do not alter the outcome.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Wes Moore is the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle and accepts the nomination. The market resolves to No if another individual is the first to be formally nominated and accept the nomination. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution. Resolution is determined by a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including the official party website.
Resolution source
A consensus of official Democratic Party sources
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·