Will Stephen A. Smith be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The resolution rules clearly define the outcome based on the first individual who is formally nominated for Vice President by the Democratic Party for the 2028 election cycle and accepts the nomination.
Read the full assessment
The resolution rules clearly define the outcome based on the first individual who is formally nominated for Vice President by the Democratic Party for the 2028 election cycle and accepts the nomination. Resolution relies on official Democratic Party sources, specifically highlighting the party's official website. Additionally, the rules clarify that subsequent replacements of the nominee will not retroactively alter the outcome once the initial formal nomination and acceptance have occurred.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market explained
This market measures whether Stephen A. Smith becomes the Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee for the 2028 election cycle.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Stephen A. Smith is the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle and accepts the nomination. The market resolves No if another individual is the first to be formally nominated and accepts, or if Stephen A. Smith does not become the nominee. Any subsequent replacement of the nominee before election day does not change the resolution. Resolution is determined by a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including the official party website.
Resolution source
A consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including democrats.org
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·