Will Kamala Harris be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The market rules clearly define the outcome based on the first individual who is formally nominated for Vice President by the Democratic Party in the 2028 cycle and accepts that nomination.
Read the full assessment
The market rules clearly define the outcome based on the first individual who is formally nominated for Vice President by the Democratic Party in the 2028 cycle and accepts that nomination. Resolution relies on official Democratic Party sources, primarily their official website, leaving very little room for ambiguity or subjective interpretation. The rules also explicitly clarify that any subsequent replacement of the nominee after the initial formal nomination will not alter the outcome.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
2%
chance▼ −0.1 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market explained
This market measures whether Kamala Harris will become the Democratic Party's vice-presidential nominee for the 2028 U.S. presidential election. Notably, any subsequent replacement of the nominee before election day does not alter the resolution.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Kamala Harris is the first individual formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 election cycle and accepts the nomination. The market resolves No if another individual is the first person to be formally nominated and accept, or if Harris is not nominated. Any subsequent replacement of the nominee prior to election day will not change the market's outcome. Resolution is determined by a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including the official party website.
Resolution source
A consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including democrats.org
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·