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PoliticsCloses · in 725 days$4.8K volumePart of: Democratic VP Nominee 2028 →

Will Jon Ossoff be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?

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Gotcha risk

Low

0 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: The rules clearly specify that resolution depends on the first person formally nominated for Vice President by the Democratic Party in the 2028 cycle who accepts the nomination.

Read the full assessment

The rules clearly specify that resolution depends on the first person formally nominated for Vice President by the Democratic Party in the 2028 cycle who accepts the nomination. Official Democratic Party sources, including the party's official website, serve as the basis for verification. The market also explicitly clarifies that any subsequent replacement of the nominee after the initial formal nomination and acceptance will not alter the outcome.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

6%

chance

▲ +0.4 pts · 24h

Yes6¢
No94¢
Jon Ossoff · Yes · 1MO 4.8 H 17.4 L 4.2 C 5.8+1.0 (+20.8%)

Why it moved

Latest move

▼ −10 pts24h · detected 10 Nov 2026, 05:10 UTC

The market price fell from 17% to 7%, but there is insufficient evidence to identify a likely driver for the move.

  • Largest hourly change: 07:00 UTC, 58% of the net 24-hour change.
  • Closes 729 days after the move hour.

News check pending.

A possible driver, not a confirmed cause. Wallets are anonymous. Activity is public on-chain; it says nothing about intent.

AI-generated · 10 Nov 2026, 05:20 UTC

Earlier

▲ +14 pts · 9 Nov 2026, 01:25 UTCThe price rose from 6% to 20%, but there is insufficient evidence to identify a likely driver for the move.News check pending.AI-generated · 9 Nov 2026, 01:39 UTC

Earlier

▲ +11 pts · 7 Nov 2026, 02:55 UTCThe price rose from 5% to 15% in a thinly traded market, where zero order-book depth within 5 cents and a 19% spread made the market vulnerable to low-liquidity price swings.The news search didn't complete, so no catalyst is claimed.AI-generated · 7 Nov 2026, 03:05 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Market explained

This market measures whether Jon Ossoff will be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee. Resolution depends strictly on the first person to formally accept the nomination, regardless of any subsequent replacements.

How it resolves

The market resolves Yes if Jon Ossoff is the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle and accepts the nomination. The market resolves No if another individual is the first to be formally nominated and accept, or if Jon Ossoff does not become the nominee. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution. Resolution is determined by a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Resolution source

A consensus of official Democratic Party sources

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·