Will Mark Cuban be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market resolves based on the first person formally nominated for Vice President by the Democratic Party in the 2028 election cycle who accepts the nomination.
Read the full assessment
This market resolves based on the first person formally nominated for Vice President by the Democratic Party in the 2028 election cycle who accepts the nomination. Resolution is verified through official Democratic Party communications, including democrats.org. Notably, if the initial nominee accepts the nomination but is subsequently replaced before election day, the market will still resolve to that first individual.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance▲ +0.6 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market explained
This market measures whether Mark Cuban becomes the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee. Resolution hinges on the first person formally nominated who accepts the nomination, regardless of any subsequent replacements.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Mark Cuban is the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle and accepts the nomination. The market resolves No if another individual is the first to be formally nominated and accepts the nomination. Any replacement of the nominee before election day does not change the resolution. The outcome is determined by a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Resolution source
A consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including the Democratic Party website
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·