Will Gina Raimondo be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market clearly defines resolution around the first individual who is formally nominated for Vice President by the Democratic Party in the 2028 cycle and accepts the nomination.
Read the full assessment
This market clearly defines resolution around the first individual who is formally nominated for Vice President by the Democratic Party in the 2028 cycle and accepts the nomination. It explicitly points to official party sources including democrats.org, and notes that any subsequent replacement after the initial formal nomination will not alter the outcome.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
1%
chance▲ +0.15 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market explained
This market measures whether Gina Raimondo will become the 2028 Democratic vice-presidential nominee. Resolution is locked in by the first person to formally accept the nomination, ignoring any subsequent replacement.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Gina Raimondo is the first person formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 election cycle and accepts the nomination. The market resolves No if another individual is the first to be formally nominated and accept, or if Raimondo does not meet these criteria. Any replacement of the nominee before election day does not change the resolution. Resolution is determined by a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including the party's official website.
Resolution source
Consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including the official Democratic Party website
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·