Will Tulsi Gabbard be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: Resolution is straightforward and relies on official Republican Party announcements, including the national party website, to identify the first person who formally receives and accepts the vice-presidential nomination for the 2028 cycle.
Read the full assessment
Resolution is straightforward and relies on official Republican Party announcements, including the national party website, to identify the first person who formally receives and accepts the vice-presidential nomination for the 2028 cycle. Participants should note that if the initial nominee steps down or is replaced before the general election, the market still resolves based on that first accepted formal nomination.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
2%
chance▲ +0.35 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market explained
This market measures whether Tulsi Gabbard becomes the Republican Party's nominee for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 election cycle. Resolution locks in based on the first person to accept the formal nomination, regardless of any subsequent replacements.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Tulsi Gabbard is the first person to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 election cycle and accepts the nomination. The market resolves No if another individual is the first to be formally nominated and accepts, or if Gabbard is not nominated. Any replacement of the vice-presidential nominee before election day does not change the resolution. Resolution is determined by a consensus of official GOP sources, including the GOP website.
Resolution source
A consensus of official GOP sources, including the official GOP website
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·