Republican VP Nominee 2028
34 live outcomes · highest priced: Marco Rubio at 21% (+1 pts in 24h) · first close Nov 8, 2028 · $66.5K total volume
About this event
This event tracks who will be selected as the Republican Party's vice-presidential nominee for the 2028 presidential election cycle, featuring individual markets for various potential candidates.
How the outcomes relate
The event consists of candidate-specific markets. Because the rules specify resolution based on the first individual formally nominated who accepts the nomination, only one market can resolve Yes, while all other candidate markets resolve No.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if the named individual is the first person to be formally nominated for Vice President by the Republican Party in the 2028 presidential election cycle and accepts the nomination. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Any subsequent replacement of the nominee before election day does not change the resolution. Resolution is determined by a consensus of official GOP sources.
Key dates
- 2028 presidential election cycle: The year 2028 is specified for the election cycle, but no specific date or deadline is stated in the rules.
Resolution source
A consensus of official GOP sources, including gop.com
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Rubio | 21% | ▲ 1 | Low | Low | |
| Brian Kemp | 20% | ▲ 12 | Low | Low | |
| Ron DeSantis | 18% | ▲ 7 | Low | Low | |
| Pete Hegseth | 9% | ▲ 1 | Low | Low | |
| Thomas Massie | 8% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Katie Britt | 5% | ▼ 2 | Low | Low | |
| J.D. Vance | 5% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Rand Paul | 4% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Ivanka Trump | 4% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Josh Hawley | 3% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Donald Trump | 3% | ▲ 1 | Low | Low | |
| Glenn Youngkin | 3% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Donald Trump Jr. | 3% | ▼ 1 | Low | Low | |
| Sarah Huckabee Sanders | 3% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Joe Kent | 3% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Ted Cruz | 2% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Byron Donalds | 2% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Tucker Carlson | 2% | ▼ 4 | Low | Med | |
| Nikki Haley | 2% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Kristi Noem | 2% | ▼ 1 | Low | Med | |
| Tulsi Gabbard | 1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Vivek Ramaswamy | 1% | ▼ 1 | Low | Med | |
| Eric Trump | 1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Erika Kirk | 1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Elise Stefanik | 1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | 1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Mike Pence | 1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Kim Kardashian | 1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Matt Gaetz | 1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Greg Abbott | 1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| John Thune | 1% | ▼ 3 | Low | Med | |
| Elon Musk | <1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Steve Bannon | <1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Tom Brady | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Marjorie Taylor Greene | — | — | Low | Med |