Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?
Gotcha risk
Medium1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly specify that resolution requires the market capitalization of HYPE to surpass that of Solana according to CoinGecko, with specific URLs provided and CoinMarketCap designated as a backup source.
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly specify that resolution requires the market capitalization of HYPE to surpass that of Solana according to CoinGecko, with specific URLs provided and CoinMarketCap designated as a backup source. However, the question title simply states 'December 31' without specifying a year, whereas the underlying rules establish a multi-year timeframe ending on December 31, 2026. Anyone reading only the title might assume the deadline falls in the current year rather than spanning through late 2026, creating a notable mismatch in expected duration.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Medium
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
2%
chance▼ −0.5 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the market capitalization of HYPE (HYPE) surpasses that of Solana (SOL) according to CoinGecko at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's data for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/hyperliquid and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/solana, respectively. If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.
Market explained
This market measures whether the market capitalization of Hyperliquid (HYPE) surpasses that of Solana (SOL) by the end of 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the market capitalization of HYPE exceeds that of SOL at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The market resolves to No if this threshold is not reached during the specified timeframe. CoinGecko serves as the primary deciding source for market capitalization data. If CoinGecko stops providing relevant data, CoinMarketCap will be used as the fallback resolution source.
Resolution source
CoinGecko (with CoinMarketCap as fallback)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·