Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day?
Gotcha risk
Not analysed yetBrierpoint's Gotcha check covers Polymarket's most active markets; this one hasn't been assessed.
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve based on Oura's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Market explained
This market measures whether Oura's market capitalization falls within a specific range ($7.5 billion to $10 billion) at the close of its initial public offering (IPO) day. The market has a specific resolution for the scenario where no IPO occurs by a set date.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Oura's market capitalization is between $7.5 billion and $10 billion, inclusive, at the closing price on its first day of trading. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price. If the market capitalization is exactly $7.5 billion or $10 billion, it resolves Yes. The market resolves No if Oura's market capitalization is outside the specified range on its first day of trading. The market resolves to "No IPO before January 2027" if Oura's IPO does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. If that figure is unavailable, another reliable source will be used. If trading is interrupted on the first day, the official closing price of the abbreviated session will be used. If no official closing price is published for the abbreviated session, the market will resolve based on the official closing price of the next trading day, which will be considered the first day of trading for this market.
Resolution source
No resolution source is identified in this explainer.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-2.5-flash ·