Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?
Gotcha risk
Low1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly specify the qualifying corporate entity (RVB LLC and its parents, subsidiaries, or successors) and explicitly define what constitutes an announcement versus non-qualifying exploratory or conditional statements.
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly specify the qualifying corporate entity (RVB LLC and its parents, subsidiaries, or successors) and explicitly define what constitutes an announcement versus non-qualifying exploratory or conditional statements. An announcement alone triggers resolution even if a formal bankruptcy filing is later withdrawn or dismissed. Resolution relies on official company channels, statements from authorized representatives, or authentic filings, though the decider also allows a wide consensus of credible reporting to establish that an official announcement or filing took place.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
2%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if RVB LLC, which does business as Wildberries, or any corporate parent, subsidiary, or successor of RVB LLC, announces that it is petitioning or filing for or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs, or if such a filing or petition is rejected, withdrawn, or otherwise not accepted. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents RVB LLC, or through a filing confirmed to be authentic. Announcements that the company is considering bankruptcy, will file depending on the outcome of a subsequent event, or other statements that do not announce that a filing has or will definitively occur will not be sufficient to resolve this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from RVB LLC and its authorized representatives, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market explained
This market measures whether RVB LLC (Wildberries) or its parent, subsidiary, or successor officially announces a bankruptcy filing before 2027. A notable aspect is that an official announcement alone triggers resolution, regardless of whether a bankruptcy filing actually happens or is accepted.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if RVB LLC (Wildberries), or any corporate parent, subsidiary, or successor, announces between market creation and December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET that it has filed or is petitioning or filing for bankruptcy of any variety. The announcement must come from official or verified channels, a recorded or written statement by its CEO, legal representation, or other authorized representative, or a confirmed authentic filing. It resolves to Yes even if the actual filing does not occur or is rejected or withdrawn. Statements merely considering bankruptcy or making it contingent on future events do not count. The market resolves to No if no such definitive announcement occurs within the timeframe. Resolution is determined by official information from RVB LLC and authorized representatives, or a wide consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution source
Official information from RVB LLC and its authorized representatives, or a wide consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·