Will Behemoth! win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
Gotcha risk
Low1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market resolves based on the official winner of Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards according to the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS).
Read the full assessment
This market resolves based on the official winner of Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards according to the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). Official announcements from the Oscars website and live broadcast serve as the primary sources. Participants should note the early resolution clause: if the film is not nominated when the 2027 nominees are announced, the market immediately resolves to No rather than waiting for the ceremony. There is also an alphabetical tie-breaker and an explicit longstop date of June 30, 2027.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Medium
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Last captured price
<1%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market explained
This market measures whether the film Behemoth! will win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards in 2027.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Behemoth! wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture, including winning via an alphabetical tiebreaker if there is a tie. The market resolves immediately to No if the film is not officially nominated for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced. It also resolves to No if another film wins the award. The market resolves to Other if no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. The outcome is determined by official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS (such as their website or the live broadcast), or a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution source
Official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS (including oscars.org and the live ceremony broadcast), or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·