Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Project Hail Mary at <1% · first close Mar 14, 2027 · $870.9K total volume
About this event
This event tracks which film will win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards in 2027. Each market measures whether a specific film will be awarded the title by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences.
How the outcomes relate
Each market corresponds to a specific film. At most one market can resolve Yes because there is only one winning outcome designated (in the event of a tie, the film whose listed title comes first alphabetically resolves Yes). Films not nominated resolve to No immediately.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if the listed film wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated when 2027 nominees are announced, its market immediately resolves to No. If a tie occurs, the nominated film with the title appearing first alphabetically wins. If no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other.
Key dates
- Nominations announcement: Scheduled to be announced on January 21
- Award ceremony: — Ceremony scheduled for March 14, 2027
- Resolution deadline: — Resolves to Other if no winner declared by 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS (including their website and live broadcast), or a consensus of credible reporting.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Project Hail Mary | <1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| The Drama | <1% | ±0 | Med | Med | |
| The Invite | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Behemoth! | <1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Dune: Part Three | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| The Odyssey | — | — | Low | Med | |
| Digger | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Wild Horse Nine | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| The Adventures of Cliff Booth | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Clarissa | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Josephine | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Saturn Return | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Tony | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Fjord | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| The Social Reckoning | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Disclosure Day | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Fatherland | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| All of a Sudden | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Michael | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Avengers: Doomsday | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| The Debut | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| La Bola Negra | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| You Can See Everything | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Obsession | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| I Play Rocky | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Elsinore | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Artificial | — | — | Not rated | — |